Our model gives Marumo Gallants FC a 37% chance to win this one, against 35% for a draw and 28% for TS Galaxy.

Both teams are projected to score in 37% of simulations, against 63% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 37% likelihood against 63% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Marumo Gallants FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2, and TS Galaxy have done so in 2 of their last 2.