Our model gives Mamelodi Sundowns a 68% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 10% for AmaZulu.

Both teams are projected to score in 37% of simulations, against 63% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 37% likelihood against 63% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Mamelodi Sundowns have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2, and AmaZulu have done so in 0 of their last 3.