Our model gives Malleco Unido a 61% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Atlético Oriente.

Both teams are projected to score in 57% of simulations, against 43% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 61% likelihood against 39% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Malleco Unido have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 3, and Atlético Oriente have done so in 3 of their last 4.