Our model gives Maitland a 37% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 42% for Edgeworth Eagles.

Both teams are projected to score in 68% of simulations, against 32% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 70% likelihood against 30% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Maitland have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Edgeworth Eagles have done so in 0 of their last 4.