Our model gives Maidstone United a 60% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Folkestone Invicta.

Both teams are projected to score in 53% of simulations, against 47% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 55% likelihood against 45% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Maidstone United have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2, and Folkestone Invicta have done so in 1 of their last 1.