Our model gives Maardu a 15% chance to win this one, against 16% for a draw and 69% for Viimsi.

Both teams are projected to score in 63% of simulations, against 37% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 72% likelihood against 28% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Maardu have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Viimsi have done so in 5 of their last 5.