Our model gives Luzino a 60% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Chemik Bydgoszcz.

Both teams are projected to score in 59% of simulations, against 41% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 62% likelihood against 38% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Luzino have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Chemik Bydgoszcz have done so in 2 of their last 3.