Our model gives Loughgall a 50% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Ballinamallard United.

Both teams are projected to score in 51% of simulations, against 49% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 50% likelihood against 50% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Loughgall have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Ballinamallard United have done so in 1 of their last 3.