Our model gives Logan Roos a 32% chance to win this one, against 15% for a draw and 52% for Springfield United.

Both teams are projected to score in 79% of simulations, against 21% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 79% likelihood against 21% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Logan Roos have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 4, and Springfield United have done so in 2 of their last 2.