Our model gives Lochin a 58% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Yaypan.

Both teams are projected to score in 54% of simulations, against 46% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 60% likelihood against 40% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Lochin have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5, and Yaypan have done so in 2 of their last 5.