Our model gives Llaneros a 33% chance to win this one, against 31% for a draw and 36% for Millonarios.

Both teams are projected to score in 48% of simulations, against 52% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 40% likelihood against 60% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Llaneros have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2, and Millonarios have done so in 0 of their last 3.