Our model gives Livingston a 44% chance to win this one, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Inverness CT.

Both teams are projected to score in 56% of simulations, against 44% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 54% likelihood against 46% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Livingston have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 3, and Inverness CT have done so in 0 of their last 3.