Our model gives Lillehammer a 90% chance to win this one, against 6% for a draw and 4% for Bjørkelangen.

Both teams are projected to score in 55% of simulations, against 45% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 90% likelihood against 10% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Lillehammer have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Bjørkelangen have done so in 2 of their last 4.