Our model gives Lilla Torg a 42% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 37% for Linero.

Both teams are projected to score in 65% of simulations, against 35% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 64% likelihood against 36% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Lilla Torg have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Linero have done so in 1 of their last 2.