Our model gives Liestal a 4% chance to win this one, against 7% for a draw and 89% for Young Boys.

Both teams are projected to score in 47% of simulations, against 53% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 79% likelihood against 21% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Liestal have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Young Boys have done so in 4 of their last 4.