Our model gives Levadia II a 45% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 33% for Maardu.

Both teams are projected to score in 72% of simulations, against 28% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 76% likelihood against 24% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Levadia II have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Maardu have done so in 2 of their last 3.