Our model gives LePa a 33% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 46% for LoPa.

Both teams are projected to score in 64% of simulations, against 36% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 67% likelihood against 33% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, LePa have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and LoPa have done so in 3 of their last 4.