Our model gives Leones de Rosario a 40% chance to win this one, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Defensores de Cambaceres.

Both teams are projected to score in 43% of simulations, against 57% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 35% likelihood against 65% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Leones de Rosario have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 2, and Defensores de Cambaceres have done so in 2 of their last 3.