Our model gives Leiknir Reykjavík a 29% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 50% for Njardvík.

Both teams are projected to score in 68% of simulations, against 32% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 71% likelihood against 29% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Leiknir Reykjavík have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Njardvík have done so in 2 of their last 3.