Our model gives Leighton Town a 55% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Kettering Town.

Both teams are projected to score in 55% of simulations, against 45% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 60% likelihood against 40% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Leighton Town have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 2, and Kettering Town have done so in 0 of their last 2.