Our model gives Legia Warszawa a 61% chance to win this one, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Śląsk Wrocław.

Both teams are projected to score in 55% of simulations, against 45% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 55% likelihood against 45% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Legia Warszawa have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Śląsk Wrocław have done so in 3 of their last 4.