Our model gives LDU Portoviejo a 40% chance to win this one, against 33% for a draw and 27% for Santo Domingo.

Both teams are projected to score in 37% of simulations, against 63% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 29% likelihood against 71% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, LDU Portoviejo have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Santo Domingo have done so in 0 of their last 1.