Our model gives Laval a 33% chance to win this one, against 26% for a draw and 41% for Red Star.

Both teams are projected to score in 56% of simulations, against 44% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 52% likelihood against 48% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Laval have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2, and Red Star have done so in 0 of their last 2.