Our model gives Lautaro de Buin a 68% chance to win this one, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Futuro.

Both teams are projected to score in 53% of simulations, against 47% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 60% likelihood against 40% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Lautaro de Buin have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 2, and Futuro have done so in 1 of their last 4.