Our model gives Kumu a 15% chance to win this one, against 13% for a draw and 72% for Kultsu.

Both teams are projected to score in 66% of simulations, against 34% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 80% likelihood against 20% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Kumu have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Kultsu have done so in 3 of their last 3.