Our model gives KR Reykjavík a 61% chance to win this one, against 17% for a draw and 21% for Breidablik.

Both teams are projected to score in 75% of simulations, against 25% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 85% likelihood against 15% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, KR Reykjavík have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2, and Breidablik have done so in 1 of their last 3.