Our model gives Konnerud a 9% chance to win this one, against 11% for a draw and 80% for Bærum.

Both teams are projected to score in 67% of simulations, against 33% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 81% likelihood against 19% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Konnerud have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 4, and Bærum have done so in 4 of their last 4.