Our model gives Kolkheti Poti a 43% chance to win this one, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Samtredia.

Both teams are projected to score in 57% of simulations, against 43% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 52% likelihood against 48% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Kolkheti Poti have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2, and Samtredia have done so in 1 of their last 2.