Our model gives Kitzbühel a 50% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Fügen.

Both teams are projected to score in 59% of simulations, against 41% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 62% likelihood against 38% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Kitzbühel have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4, and Fügen have done so in 1 of their last 2.