Our model gives Kingstonian a 47% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 33% for Hastings United.

Both teams are projected to score in 65% of simulations, against 35% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 73% likelihood against 27% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Kingstonian have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Hastings United have done so in 1 of their last 1.