Our model gives Kingborough Lions a 61% chance to win this one, against 17% for a draw and 22% for Clarence Zebras.

Both teams are projected to score in 66% of simulations, against 34% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 66% likelihood against 34% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Kingborough Lions have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Clarence Zebras have done so in 1 of their last 3.