Our model gives Kheybar Khorramabad a 34% chance to win this one, against 36% for a draw and 31% for Paykan.

Both teams are projected to score in 36% of simulations, against 64% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 36% likelihood against 64% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Kheybar Khorramabad have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Paykan have done so in 0 of their last 1.