Our model gives Khan Tengri a 19% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 61% for Sport Academy Kairat.

Both teams are projected to score in 56% of simulations, against 44% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 61% likelihood against 39% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Khan Tengri have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2, and Sport Academy Kairat have done so in 1 of their last 3.