Our model gives Kettering Town a 60% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Quorn.

Both teams are projected to score in 54% of simulations, against 46% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 63% likelihood against 37% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Kettering Town have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 3, and Quorn have done so in 2 of their last 3.