Our model gives Kawasaki Frontale a 39% chance to win this one, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Kashima Antlers.

Both teams are projected to score in 61% of simulations, against 39% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 57% likelihood against 43% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Kawasaki Frontale have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2, and Kashima Antlers have done so in 2 of their last 2.