Our model gives Karlovy Vary a 55% chance to win this one, against 19% for a draw and 27% for Chomutov.

Both teams are projected to score in 65% of simulations, against 35% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 72% likelihood against 28% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Karlovy Vary have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2, and Chomutov have done so in 0 of their last 1.