Our model gives JPS a 72% chance to win this one, against 13% for a draw and 15% for Vaajakoski / Reds.

Both teams are projected to score in 72% of simulations, against 28% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 86% likelihood against 14% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, JPS have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Vaajakoski / Reds have done so in 3 of their last 3.