Our model gives Jong Lede a 52% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 29% for Sint-Lenaarts.

Both teams are projected to score in 65% of simulations, against 35% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 71% likelihood against 29% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Jong Lede have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Sint-Lenaarts have done so in 2 of their last 2.