Our model gives Jesenice a 13% chance to win this one, against 18% for a draw and 69% for Beltinci.

Both teams are projected to score in 48% of simulations, against 52% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 58% likelihood against 42% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Jesenice have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2, and Beltinci have done so in 1 of their last 2.