Our model gives Jersey Bulls a 40% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 39% for Hayes & Yeading United.

Both teams are projected to score in 58% of simulations, against 42% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 66% likelihood against 34% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Jersey Bulls have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Hayes & Yeading United have done so in 1 of their last 2.