Our model gives Jeonbuk Motors a 59% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Dangjin Citizen.

Both teams are projected to score in 56% of simulations, against 44% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 58% likelihood against 42% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Jeonbuk Motors have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Dangjin Citizen have done so in 1 of their last 2.