Our model gives JBK a 54% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 27% for Vaajakoski.

Both teams are projected to score in 68% of simulations, against 32% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 72% likelihood against 28% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, JBK have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Vaajakoski have done so in 3 of their last 4.