Our model gives Jarosław a 66% chance to win this one, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna.

Both teams are projected to score in 55% of simulations, against 45% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 55% likelihood against 45% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Jarosław have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna have done so in 2 of their last 3.