Our model gives Jarosław a 72% chance to win this one, against 14% for a draw and 14% for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów.

Both teams are projected to score in 61% of simulations, against 39% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 74% likelihood against 26% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Jarosław have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów have done so in 1 of their last 3.