Our model gives Jaguares de Córdoba a 36% chance to win this one, against 30% for a draw and 34% for América de Cali.

Both teams are projected to score in 47% of simulations, against 53% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 40% likelihood against 60% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Jaguares de Córdoba have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 4, and América de Cali have done so in 1 of their last 5.