Our model gives Järfälla a 23% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 55% for Karlberg.

Both teams are projected to score in 58% of simulations, against 42% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 61% likelihood against 39% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Järfälla have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Karlberg have done so in 1 of their last 3.