Our model gives Järfälla a 34% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 41% for Assyriska.

Both teams are projected to score in 58% of simulations, against 42% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 57% likelihood against 43% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Järfälla have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Assyriska have done so in 1 of their last 3.