Our model gives Jönköpings Södra a 53% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Olympic.

Both teams are projected to score in 55% of simulations, against 45% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 57% likelihood against 43% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Jönköpings Södra have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 4, and Olympic have done so in 2 of their last 3.