Our model gives Ipswich Knights a 37% chance to win this one, against 18% for a draw and 45% for Yeronga Eagles.

Both teams are projected to score in 75% of simulations, against 25% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 80% likelihood against 20% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Ipswich Knights have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Yeronga Eagles have done so in 0 of their last 1.