Our model gives Internacional Palmira a 52% chance to win this one, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Real Cundinamarca.

Both teams are projected to score in 43% of simulations, against 57% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 39% likelihood against 61% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Internacional Palmira have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4, and Real Cundinamarca have done so in 1 of their last 3.